Ungoverned spaces and armed civil conflicts: The predicament of developing nations

dc.contributor.author Munyua, David O.
dc.date.accessioned 2017-08-09T00:27:16Z
dc.date.available 2017-08-09T00:27:16Z
dc.date.issued 2015-06
dc.description A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the Masters of Science in Defense Analysis Degree of Naval Postgraduate School en_US
dc.description.abstract Several developing nations are grappling with the phenomenon of ungoverned territories, which are believed to be harboring insurgent, terrorist, and other armed violent groups. This study investigates how a developing nation can use its resources to reduce violent activities and, consequently, ungoverned spaces from within its sovereign territory. The study uses geo-referenced violent events data as a measure of violence and spatiotemporal data for law enforcement agencies (LEAs), social services, and economic infrastructure as measures of state authority. All data is specific to Uganda. Using multi-regression models (negative binomial and matched wake analysis), the study employs interpolated spatiotemporal data to estimate the effects of state authority factors on violent events over space and time. The findings show that LEAs, including police, prisons, courts, and border protection, are the most effective in reducing violence and therefore ungoverned territories. Save for schools and local governments, social services like health centers, and economic infrastructure like roads, tend to be associated with increased levels of violence. The policy implication for developing nations is therefore to consider directing their resources toward building their LEAs before or concurrently with socioeconomic services in order to reduce violence emanating from ungoverned spaces. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship United States of America Government en_US
dc.identifier.citation Munyua, D.O. (2015). Ungoverned spaces and armed civil conflicts: The predicament of developing nations. Unpublished masters dissertation. Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10570/5625
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Naval Postgraduate School en_US
dc.subject Ungoverned spaces en_US
dc.subject Armed civil conflicts en_US
dc.subject Insurgency en_US
dc.subject Uganda en_US
dc.subject Counter-state en_US
dc.subject Civil wars en_US
dc.title Ungoverned spaces and armed civil conflicts: The predicament of developing nations en_US
dc.type Thesis/Dissertation (Masters) en_US
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