Determinants of export performance in Uganda

Abstract

The study set out to examine the determinants of the level of exports in Uganda. The study adopted the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) stationarity model to undertake the study. The study findings showed that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Real Exchange rate were negatively related to Uganda’s exports whereas Inflation was positively related to exports in the short run. However, in the long run, the result showed that there is a negative significant relationship between inflation and exports; and a positive relationship between exports and Real exchange rate and GDP. These study findings have policy implications.